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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
NORTHWICH VICTORIA vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Northwich Victoria vs. Hereford.
| Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Northwich Victoria (ELO score: 2902) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Hereford (ELO score: 3083) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Home | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 JAN 2017 | CONF | Banbury United (2902) |
1 - 0 | Leamington (3083) |
14 |
A historical comparison of Northwich Victoria's and Hereford's ELO scores.
| Northwich Victoria | Hereford | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 2902.3 | 3083.4 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3739.3 Saturday, December 3, 1892 |
3777.9 Saturday, September 4, 1976 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2722.3 Saturday, April 16, 2011 |
2756.8 Friday, December 26, 2014 |
A summary of all historical matches between Northwich Victoria and Hereford.
| Venue | Played | Northwich Victoria wins |
Draws | Hereford wins |
Northwich Victoria goals |
Hereford goals |
Northwich Victoria SR% |
Hereford SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| HOME | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| AWAY | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 31.3% | 68.8% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 MAR 2005 | CONF | Hereford United (3512) |
4 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3292) |
6.2 |
| 30 AUG 2004 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3219) |
1 - 4 | Hereford United (3580) |
5.3 |
| 6 MAR 2004 | CONF | Hereford United (3531) |
1 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3193) |
1.8 |
| 7 OCT 2003 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3294) |
1 - 5 | Hereford United (3498) |
11.4 |
| 15 FEB 2003 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3336) |
2 - 2 | Hereford United (3472) |
2 |
| 15 OCT 2002 | CONF | Hereford United (3433) |
1 - 2 | Northwich Victoria (3372) |
13.5 |
| 13 APR 2002 | CONF | Hereford United (3380) |
1 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3373) |
7.9 |
| 24 NOV 2001 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3359) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3410) |
9.6 |
| 6 JAN 2001 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3342) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3475) |
11.9 |
| 28 AUG 2000 | CONF | Hereford United (3455) |
0 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3339) |
4.8 |
| 5 FEB 2000 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3405) |
0 - 0 | Hereford United (3432) |
1.1 |
| 14 NOV 1999 | CONF | Hereford United (3408) |
3 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3438) |
15.6 |
| 5 DEC 1998 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3413) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3461) |
9.4 |
| 29 SEP 1998 | CONF | Hereford United (3457) |
2 - 2 | Northwich Victoria (3408) |
3.2 |
| 7 MAR 1998 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3397) |
0 - 2 | Hereford United (3441) |
15.8 |
| 13 SEP 1997 | CONF | Hereford United (3417) |
2 - 2 | Northwich Victoria (3434) |
1.3 |